US Senate:
Current Senate: 50 D and 50 R
Prediction: 51 D and 49 R
Democrats to pickup PA.
US House:
Current House: 222 D and 213 R
Prediction: 225 R and 210 D
Governor's Races:
Democrats to pickup: Maryland and Massachusetts
Random observations:
* Assuming that Democrats squeak by the hold the Senate, the biggest story of this election is whether Republicans win a big enough majority in the House to impeach Biden, hold the debt ceiling hostage and have a strong chance of keeping their majority after 2024.
* I'm assuming that in Nevada, Democrats will as usual slightly outperform the polls.
* Republicans have been flooding the landscape with poor-quality, right-leaning polls to make it appear that they have the momentum. The only question is, will those polls accidentally turn out to be right.
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