Sunday, November 04, 2018

2018 Election Predictions

US Senate:
Current Senate: 51 R and 49 D 
Prediction: 50 and 50 R
Democrats to pick up AZ and NV. Republicans to pickup ND.
Notes: Democrats need a medium-size miracle to win one more Senate seat and the majority. It's possible that North Dakota, Tennessee or Texas will go blue but I'm not counting on it.

US House:

Current House: 240 R and 195 D
Prediction: 233 and 202 R

Governor's Races:
Democrats to pickup: Florida, Illinois, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, New Mexico, Ohio and Wisconsin.
Republicans: No pickups from Democrats, but Alaska will flip from independent Republican to regular Republican.
* Georgia, currently Republican, will go to a runoff.
Notes: Democrats may also pickup Kansas but the odds are slightly against it. Good discussion of the gubernatorial races here.


State legislatures:

Democrats to pickup a bunch of state houses. Good discussion here.

Ballot Initiatives: Good discussion here.

Thanks for reading!







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