Monday, November 03, 2014

2014 Election Predictions

Current Senate: 55 D, 45 R
Prediction*: 52 R, 47 D, 1 independent

Republicans to pickup AK, AR, CO, IA, LA, MT, SD and WV.
Independent to win KS.

*Democrats shouldn't lose hope before all the results are in.
FACT: Democratic Senate candidates beat the polls by 3.7% in 2010 and 2.7% in 2012. If Democrats outperform the polls this year by 2% or more, they are likely to carry Alaska, Colorado and Iowa and are about even money to carry Georgia as well.

Current House: 201 D, 234 R, 201 D
Prediction: GOP+7: 241 R, 194 D

Democrats to pickup Florida, Kansas, Maine, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Republicans to pickup Arkansas and Massachusetts.
Independent to win Alaska.

That's all folks. Thanks for reading. Joe

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